Pre-tourney Rankings
North Carolina St.
Atlantic Coast
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.0#39
Expected Predictive Rating+11.8#33
Pace76.6#33
Improvement+2.0#89

Offense
Total Offense+5.5#39
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+1.4#103

Defense
Total Defense+5.5#39
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+0.6#148
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 91.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 91.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.8% n/a n/a
First Round89.8% n/a n/a
Second Round44.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen11.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.0% n/a n/a
Final Four1.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 333   VMI W 102-67 98%     1 - 0 +19.9 -7.6 -7.6
  Nov 12, 2017 248   Charleston Southern W 78-56 95%     2 - 0 +13.8 -4.1 -4.1
  Nov 14, 2017 343   Bryant W 95-72 99%     3 - 0 +4.9 -9.1 -9.1
  Nov 16, 2017 331   Presbyterian W 86-68 98%     4 - 0 +3.0 -7.5 -7.5
  Nov 22, 2017 20   Arizona W 90-84 39%     5 - 0 +20.0 +7.0 +7.0
  Nov 23, 2017 123   Northern Iowa L 60-64 79%     5 - 1 -1.4 +1.3 +1.3
  Nov 24, 2017 14   Tennessee L 58-67 35%     5 - 2 +5.9 +7.4 +7.4
  Nov 29, 2017 28   Penn St. W 85-78 57%     6 - 2 +16.1 +4.6 +4.6
  Dec 02, 2017 345   South Carolina St. W 103-71 99%     7 - 2 +13.5 -9.3 -9.3
  Dec 09, 2017 289   UMKC W 88-69 97%     8 - 2 +8.3 -5.3 -5.3
  Dec 16, 2017 88   UNC Greensboro L 76-81 78%     8 - 3 -2.2 +1.4 +1.4
  Dec 19, 2017 262   Robert Morris W 81-69 96%     9 - 3 +2.9 -4.5 -4.5
  Dec 22, 2017 320   Jacksonville W 116-64 98%     10 - 3 +39.2 -6.4 -6.4
  Dec 30, 2017 21   @ Clemson L 62-78 29%     10 - 4 0 - 1 +0.9 +8.4 +8.4
  Jan 03, 2018 32   @ Notre Dame L 58-88 35%     10 - 5 0 - 2 -15.1 +7.4 +7.4
  Jan 06, 2018 2   Duke W 96-85 26%     11 - 5 1 - 2 +28.7 +8.9 +8.9
  Jan 11, 2018 21   Clemson W 78-77 51%     12 - 5 2 - 2 +11.8 +5.4 +5.4
  Jan 14, 2018 3   @ Virginia L 51-68 12%     12 - 6 2 - 3 +6.7 +11.9 +11.9
  Jan 18, 2018 89   Wake Forest W 72-63 78%     13 - 6 3 - 3 +11.8 +1.4 +1.4
  Jan 21, 2018 38   Miami (FL) L 81-86 61%     13 - 7 3 - 4 +3.1 +4.0 +4.0
  Jan 24, 2018 204   @ Pittsburgh W 72-68 84%     14 - 7 4 - 4 +4.5 +0.3 +0.3
  Jan 27, 2018 7   @ North Carolina W 95-91 OT 18%     15 - 7 5 - 4 +24.7 +10.4 +10.4
  Feb 03, 2018 32   Notre Dame W 76-58 58%     16 - 7 6 - 4 +26.8 +4.4 +4.4
  Feb 07, 2018 31   @ Virginia Tech L 75-85 35%     16 - 8 6 - 5 +4.9 +7.5 +7.5
  Feb 10, 2018 7   North Carolina L 89-96 36%     16 - 9 6 - 6 +7.7 +7.3 +7.3
  Feb 14, 2018 54   @ Syracuse W 74-70 44%     17 - 9 7 - 6 +16.6 +6.3 +6.3
  Feb 17, 2018 89   @ Wake Forest W 90-84 58%     18 - 9 8 - 6 +14.8 +4.4 +4.4
  Feb 20, 2018 68   Boston College W 82-66 72%     19 - 9 9 - 6 +20.9 +2.4 +2.4
  Feb 25, 2018 33   Florida St. W 92-72 59%     20 - 9 10 - 6 +28.8 +4.4 +4.4
  Mar 01, 2018 108   @ Georgia Tech L 75-78 64%     20 - 10 10 - 7 +4.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Mar 03, 2018 27   Louisville W 76-69 57%     21 - 10 11 - 7 +16.2 +4.6 +4.6
  Mar 07, 2018 68   Boston College L 87-91 62%     21 - 11 +3.9 +4.0 +4.0
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 91.5% 91.5% 8.7 0.0 0.8 11.8 27.5 29.6 17.7 4.0 8.5 91.5%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 91.5% 0.0% 91.5% 8.7 0.0 0.8 11.8 27.5 29.6 17.7 4.0 8.5 91.5%